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MAC Champion on Kalshi
If Western Michigan wins the 2026 College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UMass win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · UMass | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 154,162 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Buffalo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 42,966 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami (OH) win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Miami (OH) | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 37,026 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Toledo win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Toledo | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 31,541 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Western Michigan win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Western Michigan | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 27,111 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Michigan win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Eastern Michigan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 21,699 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kent St. win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Kent St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 18,447 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ball St. win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Ball St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,895 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ohio win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Ohio | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 7,454 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bowling Green win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Bowling Green | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,690 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento St. win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Sacramento St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,631 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Central Michigan win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Central Michigan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,645 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Akron win the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship? · Akron | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 449 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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