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Mountain West Champion on Kalshi
If Wyoming wins the 2026 College Football Mountain West Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Mexico win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · New Mexico | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 62,380 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Air Force win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · Air Force | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 57,697 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will North Dakota St. win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · North Dakota St. | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 38,558 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UNLV win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · UNLV | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 34,739 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hawai'i win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · Hawai'i | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 33,531 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nevada win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · Nevada | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 22,431 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UTEP win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · UTEP | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 22,313 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Jose St. win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · San Jose St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,004 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wyoming win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · Wyoming | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 4,689 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Northern Illinois win the College Football Mountain West Championship? · Northern Illinois | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,614 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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