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College Football Total Points on Kalshi
If the teams collectively score more than 80.5 points in the Stanford vs Virginia Tech college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
47%
Median YES price across 1273 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
94% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Game: Over 44.5 points scored · Over 44.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 15,950 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 48.5 points scored · Over 48.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 15,171 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 73.5 points scored · Over 73.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 5,179 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 43.5 points scored · Over 43.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 4,310 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 72.5 points scored · Over 72.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 4,266 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 49.5 points scored · Over 49.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 4,230 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 45.5 points scored · Over 45.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 4,002 | Nov 16, 18:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 76.5 points scored · Over 76.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3,675 | Nov 17, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 77.5 points scored · Over 77.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 3,155 | Nov 17, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 38.5 points scored · Over 38.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 3,017 | Nov 17, 03:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 48.5 points scored · Over 48.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 2,478 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 29.5 points scored · Over 29.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,333 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 46.5 points scored · Over 46.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 2,024 | Nov 16, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 42.5 points scored · Over 42.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,821 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 20.5 points scored · Over 20.5 points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,774 | Nov 17, 04:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 23.5 points scored · Over 23.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,743 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 38.5 points scored · Over 38.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,605 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 24.5 points scored · Over 24.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,566 | Nov 17, 02:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 45.5 points scored · Over 45.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 1,503 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 27.5 points scored · Over 27.5 points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,426 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 33.5 points scored · Over 33.5 points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,374 | Nov 17, 00:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 28.5 points scored · Over 28.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,374 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 68.5 points scored · Over 68.5 points | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 1,373 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 40.5 points scored · Over 40.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 1,369 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 63.5 points scored · Over 63.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 1,348 | Nov 17, 03:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 60.5 points scored · Over 60.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,299 | Nov 17, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 33.5 points scored · Over 33.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,285 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 43.5 points scored · Over 43.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,192 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 60.5 points scored · Over 60.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,157 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 54.5 points scored · Over 54.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,098 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 23.5 points scored · Over 23.5 points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,024 | Nov 17, 00:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 27.5 points scored · Over 27.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,011 | Nov 16, 19:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 47.5 points scored · Over 47.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 992 | Nov 16, 02:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 49.5 points scored · Over 49.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 986 | Nov 16, 20:30 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 57.5 points scored · Over 57.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 925 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 49.5 points scored · Over 49.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 892 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 52.5 points scored · Over 52.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 856 | Nov 16, 23:15 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 46.5 points scored · Over 46.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 846 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 46.5 points scored · Over 46.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 815 | Nov 16, 20:00 UTC |
| Full Game: Over 62.5 points scored · Over 62.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 803 | Nov 16, 17:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 1273 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.