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Atlantic-10 Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the VCU men's college basketball team are the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saint Louis be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Saint Louis | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,392 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will VCU be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · VCU | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 701 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Richmond be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Richmond | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 378 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Loyola Chicago be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Loyola Chicago | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 234 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Fordham be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Fordham | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 93 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Duquesne be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Duquesne | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 53 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Joseph's be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Saint Joseph's | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 46 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will George Mason be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · George Mason | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 17 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will George Washington be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · George Washington | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 14 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will La Salle be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · La Salle | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Dayton be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Dayton | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Rhode Island be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Rhode Island | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will St. Bonaventure be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · St. Bonaventure | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Davidson be the 2027 Atlantic 10 conference tournament champions? · Davidson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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