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American East Conference Tournament on Kalshi

If the Vermont men's college basketball team is the 2027 America East conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Vermont be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Vermont53¢53%1.7¢—93%367Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will Maine be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Maine3¢3%0.2¢—6%10Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will New Hampshire be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · New Hampshire6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will UMBC be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · UMBC10¢10%0.6¢—20%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will NJIT be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · NJIT6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will UMass Lowell be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · UMass Lowell6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will Bryant be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Bryant4¢4%0.3¢—8%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will Binghamton be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · Binghamton4¢4%0.3¢—9%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC
Will University at Albany be the 2027 America East conference tournament champions? · University at Albany8¢8%0.5¢—16%0Mar 29, 18:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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