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Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If West Florida men's college basketball team is the 2027 Atlantic Sun conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
23% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.12 | 11.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lipscomb be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Lipscomb | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 25 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Queens University be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Queens University | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 11 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will West Florida be the 2027 Atlantic Sun conference tournament champions? · West Florida | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will North Florida be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · North Florida | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Stetson be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Stetson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Jacksonville | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Florida Gulf Coast be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Florida Gulf Coast | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bellarmine be the Atlantic Sun tournament champions? · Bellarmine | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 29, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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