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Men's College Basketball Big 12 Regular Season Champion on Kalshi
If the West Virginia men's college basketball team finishes as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the BYU men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · BYU | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,209 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Houston | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 2,093 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas Tech | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 1,900 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Cincinnati | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 744 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 533 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona St. men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 500 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Baylor men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Baylor | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 403 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 334 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the West Virginia men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · West Virginia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 35 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa St. men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Iowa St. | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 26 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma St. men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 23 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Utah | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCF men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCF | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the TCU men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · TCU | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas St. men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Colorado men's college basketball team finish as the Big 12 regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Colorado | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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