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Men's College Basketball Big East Regular Season Champion on Kalshi

If the Xavier men's college basketball team finishes as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.3¢$3.364.3%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the Marquette men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Marquette10¢10%0.6¢—20%2,201Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the UConn men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · UConn46¢46%1.7¢—93%1,015Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the St. John's men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · St. John's25¢25%1.3¢—50%392Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Creighton men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Creighton3¢3%0.2¢—6%380Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Xavier men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Xavier4¢4%0.3¢—8%244Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Providence men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Providence6¢6%0.4¢—13%171Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Villanova men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Villanova6¢6%0.4¢—11%22Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the DePaul men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · DePaul1¢1%0.1¢—2%12Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Georgetown men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgetown1¢1%0.1¢—2%2Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Seton Hall men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Seton Hall1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Mar 21, 14:00 UTC
Will the Butler men's college basketball team finish as the Big East regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Butler1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Mar 21, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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