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Men's College Basketball Big East Regular Season Top Finishers on Kalshi
If the Xavier men's college basketball team finishes in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
28%
Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
56% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.52 | 29.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Georgetown men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgetown | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 480 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. John's men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · St. John's | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 306 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · UConn | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 157 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Villanova men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Villanova | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 78 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Marquette men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Marquette | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 74 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. John's men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · St. John's | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 68 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Marquette men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Marquette | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 60 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. John's men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · St. John's | 85¢ | 85% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 46 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Providence men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Providence | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 30 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Georgetown men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgetown | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 27 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Marquette men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Marquette | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 18 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Villanova men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Villanova | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 12 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Creighton men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Creighton | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 11 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · UConn | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 5 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Seton Hall men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Seton Hall | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Xavier men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Xavier | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Villanova men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Villanova | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the DePaul men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · DePaul | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Butler men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Butler | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Xavier men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Xavier | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Providence men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Providence | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Seton Hall men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Seton Hall | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Georgetown men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgetown | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the DePaul men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · DePaul | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Creighton men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Creighton | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · UConn | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Butler men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Butler | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Xavier men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Xavier | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Providence men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Providence | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Seton Hall men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Seton Hall | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the DePaul men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · DePaul | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Creighton men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Creighton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Butler men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big East in the 2026-27 regular season? · Butler | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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