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Men's College Basketball Big Ten Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If the Wisconsin men's college basketball team qualifies for the Big Ten conference tournament championship game in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
19% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · UCLA | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 61 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Wisconsin to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Wisconsin | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 33 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Michigan St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Michigan St. | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Washington to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Washington | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| USC to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · USC | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Rutgers to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Rutgers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Purdue to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Purdue | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Penn St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Penn St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Ohio St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Ohio St. | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Oregon to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Oregon | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Northwestern to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Northwestern | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Nebraska to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Nebraska | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Minnesota to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Michigan to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Michigan | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Maryland to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Maryland | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Iowa to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Iowa | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Indiana to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Indiana | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Illinois to qualify for the college basketball men's Big Ten championship game · Illinois | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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