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Men's College Basketball Big Ten Regular Season Top Finishers on Kalshi
If the Wisconsin men's college basketball team finishes in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 54 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
32% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.94 | 16.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Illinois men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Illinois | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 711 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Michigan St. | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 679 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Minnesota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 455 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Illinois men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Illinois | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 359 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCLA | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 291 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Illinois men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Illinois | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 217 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Michigan | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 76 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Maryland men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Maryland | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 74 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCLA | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 59 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nebraska men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Nebraska | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 55 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Michigan | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 54 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Indiana | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 42 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nebraska men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Nebraska | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 40 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCLA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 38 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Maryland men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Maryland | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 35 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Michigan St. | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 27 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · USC | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 14 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Wisconsin men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Wisconsin | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 4 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Michigan St. | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Rutgers men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Rutgers | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Purdue men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Purdue | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Penn St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Penn St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ohio St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Ohio St. | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oregon men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oregon | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Northwestern | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Iowa | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Wisconsin men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Wisconsin | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · USC | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Rutgers men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Rutgers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Purdue men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Purdue | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Penn St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Penn St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ohio St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Ohio St. | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oregon men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oregon | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Northwestern | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Minnesota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Iowa | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Indiana | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Wisconsin men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big Ten in the 2026-27 regular season? · Wisconsin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 54 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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