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Big West Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Utah Valley men's college basketball team are the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UC Irvine be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · UC Irvine | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 688 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Cal State Bakersfield be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Cal State Bakersfield | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 360 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Cal Poly be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Cal Poly | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 334 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UC San Diego be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · UC San Diego | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 319 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UC Santa Barbara be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · UC Santa Barbara | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 136 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will California Baptist be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · California Baptist | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 96 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Cal State Northridge be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Cal State Northridge | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 40 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Utah Valley be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Utah Valley | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 13 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento St. be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Sacramento St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 13 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Cal State Fullerton be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Cal State Fullerton | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 13 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UC Riverside be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · UC Riverside | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Long Beach St. be the 2027 Big West conference tournament champions? · Long Beach St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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