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Men's College Basketball Conference Awards on Kalshi
If Thijs De Ridder wins the ACC Defensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 Division I men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
40%
Median YES price across 181 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
79% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 40¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.10 | 41.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 6 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jason Crowe Jr. wins SEC Player of the Year · Jason Crowe Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 6 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jasiah Jervis wins Big Ten Coaches' Freshman of the Year · Jasiah Jervis | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyler Tanner wins SEC Player of the Year · Tyler Tanner | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Andrej Stojakovic wins Big Ten Coaches' Player of the Year · Andrej Stojakovic | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Robert Wright III wins Big 12 Player of the Year · Robert Wright III | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 2 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adonis Ratliff wins Big Ten Coaches' Freshman of the Year · Adonis Ratliff | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Thijs De Ridder wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Thijs De Ridder | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Shelton Henderson wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Shelton Henderson | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Somto Cyril wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Somto Cyril | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Patrick Ngongba II wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Patrick Ngongba II | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Johann Grünloh wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Johann Grünloh | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| John Blackwell wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · John Blackwell | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Gabe Dynes wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Gabe Dynes | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Flory Bidunga wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Flory Bidunga | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Dame Sarr wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Dame Sarr | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Cayden Boozer wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Cayden Boozer | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Amani Hansberry wins ACC Defensive Player of the Year · Amani Hansberry | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Sayon Keita wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Sayon Keita | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Obinna Ekezie Jr. wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Obinna Ekezie Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Maximo Adams wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Maximo Adams | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Kevin Thomas wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Kevin Thomas | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Isaac Ellis wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Isaac Ellis | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Harris Reynolds wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Harris Reynolds | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Deron Rippey Jr. wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Deron Rippey Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Cameron Williams wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Cameron Williams | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Caleb Gaskins wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Caleb Gaskins | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Bryson Howard wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Bryson Howard | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Amare James wins ACC Rookie of the Year · Amare James | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Thijs De Ridder wins ACC Player of the Year · Thijs De Ridder | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Shelton Henderson wins ACC Player of the Year · Shelton Henderson | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Patrick Ngongba II wins ACC Player of the Year · Patrick Ngongba II | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Neo Avdalas wins ACC Player of the Year · Neo Avdalas | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Malik Reneau wins ACC Player of the Year · Malik Reneau | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jackson Shelstad wins ACC Player of the Year · Jackson Shelstad | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje wins ACC Player of the Year · Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| John Blackwell wins ACC Player of the Year · John Blackwell | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Flory Bidunga wins ACC Player of the Year · Flory Bidunga | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Dame Sarr wins ACC Player of the Year · Dame Sarr | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 181 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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