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Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Saint Peter's men's college basketball team are the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Siena be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Siena | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 437 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Quinnipiac be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Quinnipiac | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 275 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Fairfield be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Fairfield | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 241 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Iona be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Iona | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 223 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Peter's be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Saint Peter's | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 138 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Merrimack be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Merrimack | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 41 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sacred Heart be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Sacred Heart | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Rider be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Rider | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Niagara be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Niagara | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Mount St. Mary's be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Mount St. Mary's | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Marist be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Marist | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Manhattan be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Manhattan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Canisius be the 2027 Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Canisius | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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