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Mid-American Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Western Michigan men's college basketball team are the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ohio be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Ohio | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 596 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Miami (OH) be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Miami (OH) | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 530 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Akron be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Akron | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 301 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Kent St. be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Kent St. | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 277 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UMass be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · UMass | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 67 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Central Michigan be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Central Michigan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 13 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Western Michigan be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Western Michigan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Toledo be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Toledo | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Michigan be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Eastern Michigan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Buffalo | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bowling Green be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Bowling Green | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Ball St. be the 2027 Mid-American Conference tournament champions? · Ball St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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