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Patriot League Conference Tournament on Kalshi

If the Navy men's college basketball team are the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.4¢$3.296.4%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Lehigh be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Lehigh14¢14%0.8¢—28%87Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will American be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · American30¢30%1.5¢—60%38Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Colgate be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Colgate26¢26%1.3¢—51%25Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Lafayette be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Lafayette4¢4%0.3¢—8%11Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Navy be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Navy6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Loyola Maryland be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Loyola Maryland4¢4%0.3¢—8%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Holy Cross be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Holy Cross3¢3%0.2¢—6%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Bucknell be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Bucknell4¢4%0.3¢—8%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Boston University be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Boston University10¢10%0.6¢—19%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Army be the 2027 Patriot League conference tournament champions? · Army5¢5%0.3¢—9%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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