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SEC Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Vanderbilt is the 2027 Men's College Basketball SEC conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Florida be the SEC tournament champions? · Florida | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 2,445 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas be the SEC tournament champions? · Arkansas | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,485 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Auburn be the SEC tournament champions? · Auburn | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 727 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will LSU be the SEC tournament champions? · LSU | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 646 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be the SEC tournament champions? · Tennessee | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 616 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kentucky be the SEC tournament champions? · Kentucky | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 600 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama be the SEC tournament champions? · Alabama | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 541 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri be the SEC tournament champions? · Missouri | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 524 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Vanderbilt be the SEC tournament champions? · Vanderbilt | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 486 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina be the SEC tournament champions? · South Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 467 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Texas A&M be the SEC tournament champions? · Texas A&M | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 447 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be the SEC tournament champions? · Texas | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 274 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma be the SEC tournament champions? · Oklahoma | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 43 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss be the SEC tournament champions? · Ole Miss | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 10 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Georgia be the SEC tournament champions? · Georgia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Mississippi St. be the SEC tournament champions? · Mississippi St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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