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Men's College Basketball SEC Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If the Vanderbilt men's college basketball team qualifies for the Southeastern Conference tournament championship game in the 2026-27 men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
19% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Florida | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 40 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Arkansas to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Arkansas | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 12 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Vanderbilt to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Vanderbilt | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Kentucky to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Kentucky | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Georgia to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Georgia | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas A&M to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Texas A&M | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Texas to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Texas | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Tennessee to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Tennessee | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| South Carolina to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · South Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Oklahoma to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Oklahoma | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Mississippi St. to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Mississippi St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Missouri to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Missouri | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Ole Miss to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Ole Miss | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| LSU to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · LSU | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Auburn to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Auburn | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
| Alabama to qualify for the college basketball men's Southeastern Conference championship game · Alabama | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Mar 22, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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