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Men's College Basketball SEC Regular Season Champion on Kalshi
If the Vanderbilt men's college basketball team finishes as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texas men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,352 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vanderbilt men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Vanderbilt | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,096 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Alabama men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Alabama | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 1,053 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Florida men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Florida | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 783 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Auburn men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Auburn | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 766 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · LSU | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 631 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arkansas men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arkansas | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 628 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Georgia men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Georgia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 278 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Missouri men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Missouri | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 226 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Tennessee | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 135 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kentucky men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kentucky | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 111 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas A&M men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas A&M | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 3 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Mississippi St. men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Mississippi St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · South Carolina | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oklahoma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ole Miss men's college basketball team finish as the Southeastern Conference regular season champion in the 2026-27 regular season? · Ole Miss | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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