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Southwestern Atlantic Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Texas Southern men's college basketball team are the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bethune-Cookman be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Bethune-Cookman | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 207 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Mississippi Valley St. be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Mississippi Valley St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 203 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Southern be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Texas Southern | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 146 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Southern University be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Southern University | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Prairie View A&M be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Prairie View A&M | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Jackson St. be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Jackson St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Grambling St. be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Grambling St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Florida A&M be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Florida A&M | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas-Pine Bluff be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama St. be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Alabama St. | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Alcorn St. be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Alcorn St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama A&M be the 2027 Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Alabama A&M | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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