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United Athletic Conference Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the West Georgia men's college basketball team is the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Alabama be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · North Alabama | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 141 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Central Arkansas be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Central Arkansas | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 101 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Little Rock be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Little Rock | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 63 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Kentucky be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Eastern Kentucky | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will West Georgia be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · West Georgia | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UT Arlington be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · UT Arlington | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Tarleton St. be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Tarleton St. | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Austin Peay be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Austin Peay | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Abilene Christian be the 2027 United Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Abilene Christian | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Apr 04, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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