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Women's College Basketball AP Poll on Kalshi
If USC is ranked #1 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 Rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: AP Women's College Basketball Rankings.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 196 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 3 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 16, 2026)? · UConn | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1,420 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 11 rankings (expected to be released on Jan 11, 2027)? · South Carolina | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 4 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Jan 18, 2027)? · UConn | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 10 rankings (expected to be released on Jan 4, 2027)? · UConn | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 9 rankings (expected to be released on Dec 28, 2026)? · Texas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will USC be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · USC | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UCLA be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · UCLA | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Texas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Stanford be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Stanford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · South Carolina | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Oklahoma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Nebraska | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Ole Miss | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will LSU be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · LSU | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Louisville be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Louisville | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Iowa | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · Duke | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 18 rankings (expected to be released on Mar 1, 2027)? · UConn | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will USC be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · USC | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UCLA be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · UCLA | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Texas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Stanford be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Stanford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · South Carolina | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Oklahoma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Nebraska | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Ole Miss | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will LSU be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · LSU | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Louisville be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Louisville | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Iowa | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Duke be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · Duke | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 17 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 22, 2027)? · UConn | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will USC be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · USC | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UCLA be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · UCLA | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · Texas | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Stanford be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · Stanford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · South Carolina | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma be the #1 ranked team on Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 16 rankings (expected to be released on Feb 15, 2027)? · Oklahoma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 26, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 196 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.