What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

NETFLIX TOP SHOW VIEW COUNT on Kalshi

If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 9 million views on the chart published on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Netflix.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views? · At least 9 million	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	4,874	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 25 million views? · At least 25 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	4,492	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views? · At least 12 million	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	4,118	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views? · At least 18 million	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	4,091	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views? · At least 15 million	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	96%	3,709	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views? · At least 6 million	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,289	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 21 million views? · At least 21 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	488	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 50 million views? · At least 50 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	158	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 40 million views? · At least 40 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 35 million views? · At least 35 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 30 million views? · At least 30 million	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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