What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 12¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.08.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 13% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 12%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Next Deputy Attorney General? on Kalshi

If Bill Essayli formally holds the position of Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Deutsche Welle, <company>, ABC, BBC News, Fox News, CNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Financial Times, CBS, NBC, <organization>, agency, The Washington Post, Reuters, CNN, ABC News Australia, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, MSNBC, the Associated Press, Politico, the New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

12%

Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

24% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
12¢ (now)	0.7¢	$3.08	12.7%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Harmeet Dhillon be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · Harmeet Dhillon	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	503	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will John A. Eisenberg be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · John A. Eisenberg	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	200	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Stanley E. Woodward Jr. be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · Stanley E. Woodward Jr.	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	52%	37	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will R. Trent McCotter be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · R. Trent McCotter	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	32	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Colin M. McDonald be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · Colin M. McDonald	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	32	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bill Essayli be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · Bill Essayli	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	0	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will A. Tysen Duva be the next Deputy Attorney General before Jan 1, 2028? · A. Tysen Duva	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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