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Pro Football 1st Half Team Total on Kalshi
If Los Angeles C scores over 6.5 points in the 1st half of the Los Angeles C vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
19%
Median YES price across 284 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
38% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19¢ (now) | 1.1¢ | $2.83 | 20.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York J over 2.5 1H points scored · New York J over 2.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 3,013 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New York J over 9.5 1H points scored · New York J over 9.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 2,768 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| San Francisco over 20.5 1H points scored · San Francisco over 20.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 2,037 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| San Francisco over 23.5 1H points scored · San Francisco over 23.5 points | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 1,615 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Dallas over 23.5 1H points scored · Dallas over 23.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,274 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| New York J over 6.5 1H points scored · New York J over 6.5 points | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 1,030 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| San Francisco over 27.5 1H points scored · San Francisco over 27.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 623 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Green Bay over 30.5 1H points scored · Green Bay over 30.5 points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 361 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Arizona over 9.5 1H points scored · Arizona over 9.5 points | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 319 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Los Angeles R over 6.5 1H points scored · Los Angeles R over 6.5 points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 273 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Buffalo over 2.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 2.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 214 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Las Vegas over 9.5 1H points scored · Las Vegas over 9.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 195 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Las Vegas over 13.5 1H points scored · Las Vegas over 13.5 points | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 158 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Jacksonville over 6.5 1H points scored · Jacksonville over 6.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 140 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 13.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 13.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 123 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Jacksonville over 2.5 1H points scored · Jacksonville over 2.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 113 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles R over 2.5 1H points scored · Los Angeles R over 2.5 points | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 107 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Green Bay over 2.5 1H points scored · Green Bay over 2.5 points | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 104 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 30.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 30.5 points | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 100 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Green Bay over 27.5 1H points scored · Green Bay over 27.5 points | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 97 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Green Bay over 13.5 1H points scored · Green Bay over 13.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 96 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Seattle over 23.5 1H points scored · Seattle over 23.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 85 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Buffalo over 6.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 6.5 points | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 70 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Dallas over 2.5 1H points scored · Dallas over 2.5 points | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 69 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Seattle over 2.5 1H points scored · Seattle over 2.5 points | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 50 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Las Vegas over 2.5 1H points scored · Las Vegas over 2.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 50 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Minnesota over 2.5 1H points scored · Minnesota over 2.5 points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 50 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Kansas City over 19.5 1H points scored · Kansas City over 19.5 points | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 41 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Dallas over 13.5 1H points scored · Dallas over 13.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 34 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Dallas over 20.5 1H points scored · Dallas over 20.5 points | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 23 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Buffalo over 19.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 19.5 points | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 21 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Dallas over 27.5 1H points scored · Dallas over 27.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 20 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| San Francisco over 9.5 1H points scored · San Francisco over 9.5 points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 10 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| New Orleans over 2.5 1H points scored · New Orleans over 2.5 points | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 10 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Carolina over 2.5 1H points scored · Carolina over 2.5 points | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 10 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 16.5 1H points scored · Buffalo over 16.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 8 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New England over 2.5 1H points scored · New England over 2.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Kansas City over 2.5 1H points scored · Kansas City over 2.5 points | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 2 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 2.5 1H points scored · Pittsburgh over 2.5 points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1 | Nov 18, 01:20 UTC |
| Tennessee over 9.5 1H points scored · Tennessee over 9.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 284 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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