What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

AP Pro Football Comeback Player of the Year on Kalshi

If Cam Skattebo wins the Pro Football AP Comeback Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Patrick Mahomes win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Patrick Mahomes	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	263,893	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Aaron Donald win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Aaron Donald	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	220,854	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Joe Burrow win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Joe Burrow	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	214,582	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Deshaun Watson win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Deshaun Watson	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	212,376	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Tank Dell win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Tank Dell	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	39%	195,833	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Malik Nabers win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Malik Nabers	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	190,137	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Fred Warner win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Fred Warner	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	185,085	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyler Murray win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Kyler Murray	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	158,260	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Kirk Cousins win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Kirk Cousins	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	157,505	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Penix Jr. win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Michael Penix Jr.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	146,907	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Travis Hunter win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Travis Hunter	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	129,647	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Micah Parsons win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Micah Parsons	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	101,710	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Daniel Jones win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Daniel Jones	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	100,410	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Tucker Kraft win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Tucker Kraft	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	84,845	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will George Kittle win the Comeback Player of the Year? · George Kittle	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	73,715	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	73,214	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Brock Bowers win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Brock Bowers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	42,864	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Jonathon Brooks win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Jonathon Brooks	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	27,767	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Geno Smith win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Geno Smith	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	25,970	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Bosa win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Nick Bosa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	21,989	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC
Will Cam Skattebo win the Comeback Player of the Year? · Cam Skattebo	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,002	Feb 21, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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