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Pro Football Player's Highest Scoring Fantasy Performance on Kalshi
If Trey McBride records at least 34 full-PPR fantasy points in any individual game in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs to score at least 44 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Jahmyr Gibbs: 44+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3,132 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Kenneth Walker III to score at least 38 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Kenneth Walker III: 38+ points in any game | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 2,043 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Lamar Jackson to score at least 38 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Lamar Jackson: 38+ points in any game | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 2,039 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jonathan Taylor to score at least 37 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Jonathan Taylor: 37+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,550 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Hurts to score at least 39 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Jalen Hurts: 39+ points in any game | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 1,448 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Saquon Barkley to score at least 37 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Saquon Barkley: 37+ points in any game | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,443 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Brock Bowers to score at least 37 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Brock Bowers: 37+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,438 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Ja'Marr Chase to score at least 40 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Ja'Marr Chase: 40+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,378 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels to score at least 40 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Jayden Daniels: 40+ points in any game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 1,210 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Puka Nacua to score at least 41 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Puka Nacua: 41+ points in any game | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 1,115 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| A.J. Brown to score at least 38 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · A.J. Brown: 38+ points in any game | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,094 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown to score at least 39 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Amon-Ra St. Brown: 39+ points in any game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,034 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Caleb Williams to score at least 39 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Caleb Williams: 39+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,029 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Justin Jefferson to score at least 35 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Justin Jefferson: 35+ points in any game | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 962 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Ashton Jeanty to score at least 36 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Ashton Jeanty: 36+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 936 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Bijan Robinson to score at least 42 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Bijan Robinson: 42+ points in any game | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 927 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| James Cook III to score at least 37 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · James Cook III: 37+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 909 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Trey McBride to score at least 34 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Trey McBride: 34+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 835 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Drake London to score at least 40 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Drake London: 40+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 783 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| George Pickens to score at least 39 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · George Pickens: 39+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 771 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Nico Collins to score at least 35 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Nico Collins: 35+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 766 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Chase Brown to score at least 36 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Chase Brown: 36+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 765 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| De'Von Achane to score at least 41 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · De'Von Achane: 41+ points in any game | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 734 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Dak Prescott to score at least 42 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Dak Prescott: 42+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 660 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Patrick Mahomes to score at least 37 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Patrick Mahomes: 37+ points in any game | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 649 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Josh Allen to score at least 42 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Josh Allen: 42+ points in any game | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 584 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Christian McCaffrey to score at least 39 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Christian McCaffrey: 39+ points in any game | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 566 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jeremiyah Love to score at least 33 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Jeremiyah Love: 33+ points in any game | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 524 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| DeVonta Smith to score at least 35 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · DeVonta Smith: 35+ points in any game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 321 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Omarion Hampton to score at least 32 fantasy points in any game in the 2026-27 regular season · Omarion Hampton: 32+ points in any game | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 259 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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