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Weekly Fantasy Football Leader on Kalshi
If Darren Waller finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all TEs in Week 9 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 252 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Puka Nacua | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 883 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| C.J. Stroud: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 9? · C.J. Stroud | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 466 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 464 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Puka Nacua: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Puka Nacua | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 158 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| George Kittle: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · George Kittle | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 148 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 132 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Colston Loveland: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Colston Loveland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 97 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Malik Willis | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 80 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Mike Gesicki: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Mike Gesicki | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 67 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jordan Love | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 50 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Kenneth Walker III: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Kenneth Walker III | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 50 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Sam LaPorta: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Sam LaPorta | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 47 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Isaiah Likely: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Isaiah Likely | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 42 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Bijan Robinson: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Bijan Robinson | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 42 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| C.J. Stroud: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · C.J. Stroud | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 33 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Kyle Pitts Sr. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 30 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Ja'Marr Chase: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Ja'Marr Chase | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 28 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Luther Burden III: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Luther Burden III | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 23 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 17 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Joe Burrow: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Joe Burrow | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 12 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Brock Purdy: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Brock Purdy | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 7 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Tyler Shough: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Tyler Shough | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 6 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Malik Washington: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Malik Washington | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 5 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| CeeDee Lamb: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · CeeDee Lamb | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Cam Skattebo: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Cam Skattebo | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Tanner McKee: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Tanner McKee | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| T.J. Hockenson: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · T.J. Hockenson | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 1 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Brock Bowers: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Brock Bowers | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 1 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Darren Waller: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Darren Waller | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Charlie Woerner: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Charlie Woerner | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jakobi Meyers: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jakobi Meyers | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Mark Andrews: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Mark Andrews | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Nate Boerkircher: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Nate Boerkircher | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Justice Hill: Leader RB in fantasy points for Week 9? · Justice Hill | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Jakobi Meyers: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Jakobi Meyers | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Justice Hill: Leader in fantasy points for Week 9? · Justice Hill | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Tyler Warren: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Tyler Warren | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Trey McBride: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Trey McBride | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Tucker Kraft: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Tucker Kraft | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Travis Kelce: Leader TE in fantasy points for Week 9? · Travis Kelce | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 252 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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