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Team to host a playoff game on Kalshi
If Washington hosts a playoff game (not including the Pro Football championship) in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Football Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
35% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.91 | 18.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Las Vegas host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Las Vegas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,791 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Seattle | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 510 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Minnesota | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 475 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Chicago | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 402 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Kansas City | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 251 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Denver | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 199 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Buffalo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 187 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · San Francisco | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 186 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Los Angeles R | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 180 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Detroit | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 180 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New York G | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 176 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Philadelphia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 163 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Green Bay | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 108 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New England | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 96 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Dallas | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 74 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Baltimore | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 54 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Washington | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 52 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Carolina | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 35 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Houston | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 23 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Pittsburgh | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 17 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Jacksonville | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 15 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Tampa Bay | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 15 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Cleveland | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 14 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Miami | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 11 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indianapolis host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Indianapolis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York J host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New York J | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Tennessee | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New Orleans | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Los Angeles C | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Cincinnati | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Atlanta | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona host a playoff game in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Arizona | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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