What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 5¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.33.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 5% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 5%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Football Rushing Yards on Kalshi

If Jordan Mason records 15+ rushing yards in the Buffalo vs Minnesota professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 101 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

10% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
5¢ (now)	0.3¢	$3.33	5.3%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Josh Allen: 15+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 15+	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	364,784	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 30+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 30+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	205,609	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 50+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 50+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	205,172	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 60+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 60+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	203,905	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 80+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 80+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	201,645	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 70+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 70+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	158,284	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 20+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 20+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	130,627	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	114,135	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 40+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 40+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	103,277	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 110+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 110+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	98,647	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 10+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 10+	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	87,523	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 90+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 90+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	87,363	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	81,877	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 25+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 25+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	80,864	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 50+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 50+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	76,974	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 100+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 100+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	74,434	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 10+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 10+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	66,013	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Carson Wentz: 5+ rushing yards · Carson Wentz: 5+	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	60,409	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 5+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 5+	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	55,812	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 25+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 25+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	54,629	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 40+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 40+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	51,703	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III: 120+ rushing yards · James Cook III: 120+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	40,023	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 50+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 50+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	33,607	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	32,626	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 30+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 30+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	31,024	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 20+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 20+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	24,909	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Carson Wentz: 10+ rushing yards · Carson Wentz: 10+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	23,536	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 15+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 15+	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	22,096	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Carson Wentz: 15+ rushing yards · Carson Wentz: 15+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	20,416	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 25+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 25+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	18,466	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16,251	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 15+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 15+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	15,098	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 60+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 60+	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	14,803	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 80+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 80+	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	14,152	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 20+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 20+	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,905	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Ray Davis: 30+ rushing yards · Ray Davis: 30+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,657	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: 70+ rushing yards · Josh Allen: 70+	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	11,051	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 50+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,882	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Mason: 60+ rushing yards · Jordan Mason: 60+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,249	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+ rushing yards · Aaron Jones Sr.: 60+	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9,866	Nov 12, 01:15 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 101 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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