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Receptions on Kalshi
If Zay Flowers records 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 169 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
85% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 42¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.03 | 43.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Parker Washington record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Parker Washington | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 2,701 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will De'Zhaun Stribling record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · De'Zhaun Stribling | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2,541 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ladd McConkey record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ladd McConkey | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 2,339 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emeka Egbuka record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Emeka Egbuka | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 2,199 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colston Loveland record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Colston Loveland | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 2,129 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brock Bowers record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Brock Bowers | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 2,102 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian Watson record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Christian Watson | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 2,003 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 1,428 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler Warren record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Tyler Warren | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 1,417 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colston Loveland record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Colston Loveland | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 1,371 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DJ Moore record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · DJ Moore | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 1,229 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaylen Waddle record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jaylen Waddle | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 1,196 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Isaiah Likely record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Isaiah Likely | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 1,158 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wan'Dale Robinson record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Wan'Dale Robinson | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 1,023 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jalen Coker record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jalen Coker | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 1,005 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matthew Golden record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Matthew Golden | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 996 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zay Flowers record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Zay Flowers | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 988 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luther Burden III record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Luther Burden III | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 923 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Olave record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chris Olave | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 914 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Puka Nacua record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Puka Nacua | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 901 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adonai Mitchell record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Adonai Mitchell | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 848 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emeka Egbuka record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Emeka Egbuka | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 800 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Parker Washington record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Parker Washington | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 773 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Omar Cooper Jr. record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Omar Cooper Jr. | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 750 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marvin Harrison Jr. record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Marvin Harrison Jr. | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 719 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CeeDee Lamb record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · CeeDee Lamb | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 694 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will KC Concepcion record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · KC Concepcion | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 690 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quentin Johnston record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Quentin Johnston | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 680 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Thomas Jr. record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Brian Thomas Jr. | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 671 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chase Brown record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chase Brown | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 645 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CeeDee Lamb record 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · CeeDee Lamb | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 634 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ladd McConkey record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ladd McConkey | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 625 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brock Bowers record 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Brock Bowers | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 619 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nico Collins record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Nico Collins | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 609 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Evans record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Mike Evans | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 608 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ladd McConkey record 120+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ladd McConkey | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 602 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malik Nabers record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Malik Nabers | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 596 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan record 100+ receptions during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Tetairoa McMillan | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 595 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenneth Walker III record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kenneth Walker III | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 585 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malik Nabers record 75+ receptions during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Malik Nabers | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 559 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 169 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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