Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Total Precise on Kalshi
If Buffalo and Minnesota collectively score more than 98.5 points in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 152 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full Game: over 28.5 points? · Over 28.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,870 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 27.5 points? · Over 27.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 526 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 29.5 points? · Over 29.5 points | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 398 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 30.5 points? · Over 30.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 189 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 31.5 points? · Over 31.5 points | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 186 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 26.5 points? · Over 26.5 points | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 129 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 33.5 points? · Over 33.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 113 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 51.5 points? · Over 51.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 104 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 35.5 points? · Over 35.5 points | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 102 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 54.5 points? · Over 54.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 93 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 39.5 points? · Over 39.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 80 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 44.5 points? · Over 44.5 points | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 57 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 48.5 points? · Over 48.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 49 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 59.5 points? · Over 59.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 44 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 42.5 points? · Over 42.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 36 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 53.5 points? · Over 53.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 30 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 56.5 points? · Over 56.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 29 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 36.5 points? · Over 36.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 22 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 34.5 points? · Over 34.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 18 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 57.5 points? · Over 57.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 17 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 32.5 points? · Over 32.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 17 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 38.5 points? · Over 38.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 15 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 60.5 points? · Over 60.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 15 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 62.5 points? · Over 62.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 13 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 43.5 points? · Over 43.5 points | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 12 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 41.5 points? · Over 41.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 12 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 40.5 points? · Over 40.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 12 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 37.5 points? · Over 37.5 points | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 12 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 45.5 points? · Over 45.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 11 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 52.5 points? · Over 52.5 points | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 10 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 50.5 points? · Over 50.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 10 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 49.5 points? · Over 49.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 10 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 47.5 points? · Over 47.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 10 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 46.5 points? · Over 46.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 10 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 55.5 points? · Over 55.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 9 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 58.5 points? · Over 58.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 7 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 25.5 points? · Over 25.5 points | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 61.5 points? · Over 61.5 points | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 4 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 63.5 points? · Over 63.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 3 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
| Full Game: over 8.5 points? · Over 8.5 points | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2 | Nov 12, 01:15 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 152 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.