Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Football Players Traded on Kalshi
If TreVeyon Henderson is traded before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 68 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Brian Thomas Jr. | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 84,563 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonathan Taylor be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Jonathan Taylor | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 77,042 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Garrett Wilson be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Garrett Wilson | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 42,433 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maxx Crosby be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Maxx Crosby | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 39,415 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Brandon Aiyuk | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 38,810 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Breece Hall be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Breece Hall | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 37,531 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Saquon Barkley | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 35,258 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Jefferson be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Justin Jefferson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 33,272 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tony Pollard be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Tony Pollard | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 25,298 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred Warner be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Fred Warner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23,987 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Daniel Jones be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Daniel Jones | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 20,893 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyler Murray be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Kyler Murray | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 20,328 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mac Jones be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Mac Jones | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 17,771 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Mixon be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Joe Mixon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 17,521 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jalen Carter be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Jalen Carter | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 15,022 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tua Tagovailoa be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Tua Tagovailoa | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 13,817 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nico Collins be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Nico Collins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 13,142 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derrick Henry be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Derrick Henry | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 13,132 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jessie Bates III be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Jessie Bates III | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,921 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Riq Woolen be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Riq Woolen | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 9,634 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Burrow be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Joe Burrow | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,059 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ja'Marr Chase be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Ja'Marr Chase | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,948 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Downs be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Josh Downs | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 8,224 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shedeur Sanders be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Shedeur Sanders | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 8,164 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyren Williams be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Kyren Williams | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,953 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Will McDonald IV | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 7,856 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Budda Baker be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Budda Baker | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 7,759 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TreVeyon Henderson be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · TreVeyon Henderson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,790 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stefon Diggs be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Stefon Diggs | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 6,017 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kayvon Thibodeaux be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Kayvon Thibodeaux | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 5,871 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Richardson Sr. be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Anthony Richardson Sr. | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 5,849 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joel Bitonio be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Joel Bitonio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,432 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian Barmore be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Christian Barmore | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 4,698 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trey Hendrickson be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Trey Hendrickson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,676 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Khalil Mack be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Khalil Mack | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 4,471 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jameis Winston be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Jameis Winston | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,965 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will De’Von Achane be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · De’Von Achane | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,629 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake London be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Drake London | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,591 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Calvin Ridley be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Calvin Ridley | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 3,448 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tee Higgins be traded before Dec 1, 2026? · Tee Higgins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,292 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 68 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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