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NFL Week Highest Scoring Game on Kalshi
If the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026 is the highest scoring game in Week 9 of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 151 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
91% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 46¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.89 | 47.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Tampa Bay vs Chicago · Tampa Bay vs Chicago | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 759 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Chicago vs Minnesota · Chicago vs Minnesota | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 754 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Buffalo vs Minnesota · Buffalo vs Minnesota | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 671 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Cincinnati vs Atlanta · Cincinnati vs Atlanta | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 669 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Jacksonville vs Indianapolis · Jacksonville vs Indianapolis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 583 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Atlanta vs Carolina · Atlanta vs Carolina | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 569 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Dallas vs Washington · Dallas vs Washington | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 555 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 15: Atlanta vs Washington · Atlanta vs Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 549 | Dec 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Tennessee vs Houston · Tennessee vs Houston | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 478 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 11: Cincinnati vs Washington · Cincinnati vs Washington | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 445 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 15: Baltimore vs Pittsburgh · Baltimore vs Pittsburgh | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 445 | Dec 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Seattle vs Los Angeles R · Seattle vs Los Angeles R | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 442 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: San Francisco vs Arizona · San Francisco vs Arizona | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 417 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Tampa Bay vs New Orleans · Tampa Bay vs New Orleans | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 414 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 12: Washington vs Arizona · Washington vs Arizona | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 414 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 11: Arizona vs Kansas City · Arizona vs Kansas City | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 408 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 15: Cincinnati vs Carolina · Cincinnati vs Carolina | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 407 | Dec 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 11: New Orleans vs Chicago · New Orleans vs Chicago | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 394 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 11: Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia · Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 388 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 12: Green Bay vs Los Angeles R · Green Bay vs Los Angeles R | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 384 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Detroit vs Green Bay · Detroit vs Green Bay | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 370 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 17: Washington vs Jacksonville · Washington vs Jacksonville | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 350 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 17: Kansas City vs Los Angeles C · Kansas City vs Los Angeles C | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 348 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Denver vs Carolina · Denver vs Carolina | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 339 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 13: Miami vs Denver · Miami vs Denver | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 331 | Dec 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 17: Seattle vs Carolina · Seattle vs Carolina | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 325 | Jan 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 15: Indianapolis vs Tennessee · Indianapolis vs Tennessee | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 321 | Dec 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Dallas vs Indianapolis · Dallas vs Indianapolis | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 312 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 13: Green Bay vs New Orleans · Green Bay vs New Orleans | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 308 | Dec 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 13: San Francisco vs New York G · San Francisco vs New York G | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 306 | Dec 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Cleveland vs New Orleans · Cleveland vs New Orleans | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 300 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 12: Atlanta vs Minnesota · Atlanta vs Minnesota | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 299 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: New York J vs Kansas City · New York J vs Kansas City | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 291 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 12: Denver vs Pittsburgh · Denver vs Pittsburgh | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 288 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 18: Pittsburgh vs Baltimore · Pittsburgh vs Baltimore | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 286 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Detroit vs Miami · Detroit vs Miami | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 286 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Jacksonville vs Baltimore · Jacksonville vs Baltimore | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 286 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 9: Arizona vs Seattle · Arizona vs Seattle | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 284 | Nov 17, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 12: New York G vs Indianapolis · New York G vs Indianapolis | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 282 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Highest Scoring Game in Week 11: Indianapolis vs Houston · Indianapolis vs Houston | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 272 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 151 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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