What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Weekly Most Passing Yards on Kalshi

If Baker Mayfield records the most passing yards across all Pro Football games in Week 9, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Joe Burrow: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Joe Burrow	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	726	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Love: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Jordan Love	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	419	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Kirk Cousins: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Kirk Cousins	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	203	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
C.J. Stroud: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · C.J. Stroud	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	23%	191	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Josh Allen: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Josh Allen	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	123	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Dak Prescott: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Dak Prescott	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	101	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Geno Smith: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Geno Smith	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	67	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Malik Willis: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Malik Willis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	67	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Patrick Mahomes: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Patrick Mahomes	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	56	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Brock Purdy: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Brock Purdy	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	39	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Caleb Williams: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Caleb Williams	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	20	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Drake Maye: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Drake Maye	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	5	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Tyler Shough: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Tyler Shough	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	4	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Jared Goff: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Jared Goff	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Gardner Minshew II: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Gardner Minshew II	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Baker Mayfield: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Baker Mayfield	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Sam Darnold: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Sam Darnold	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
J.J. McCarthy: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · J.J. McCarthy	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Justin Herbert: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Justin Herbert	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Trevor Lawrence: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Trevor Lawrence	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Daniel Jones: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Daniel Jones	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Bo Nix: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Bo Nix	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Deshaun Watson: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Deshaun Watson	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Bryce Young: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Bryce Young	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Michael Penix Jr.: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 9 · Michael Penix Jr.	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Nov 24, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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