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Walter Payton Man of the Year on Kalshi
If Travis Kelce wins the Pro Football Walter Payton Man of the Year Award in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
37%
Median YES price across 31 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
74% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 37¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.21 | 38.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Travis Kelce win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Travis Kelce | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 764 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derrick Henry win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Derrick Henry | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 576 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baker Mayfield win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Baker Mayfield | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 204 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Highsmith win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Alex Highsmith | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 198 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 172 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ted Karras win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Ted Karras | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 171 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Solomon Thomas win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Solomon Thomas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 171 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyren Williams win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Kyren Williams | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 144 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenny Moore II win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Kenny Moore II | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 144 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan Love win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Jordan Love | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 144 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maxx Crosby win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Maxx Crosby | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 136 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Logan Cooke win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Logan Cooke | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 136 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DJ Moore win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · DJ Moore | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 136 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kelvin Beachum win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Kelvin Beachum | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 85 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Azeez Al-Shaair win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Azeez Al-Shaair | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 60 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A.J. Terrell Jr. win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · A.J. Terrell Jr. | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 60 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dion Dawkins win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Dion Dawkins | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 45 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quincy Williams win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Quincy Williams | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 27 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeffery Simmons win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Jeffery Simmons | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 11 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Julian Love win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Julian Love | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 10 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan Mailata win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Jordan Mailata | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 8 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hunter Henry win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Hunter Henry | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grant Delpit win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Grant Delpit | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Garett Bolles win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Garett Bolles | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will DJ Reader win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · DJ Reader | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Demario Davis win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Demario Davis | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Curtis Robinson win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Curtis Robinson | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cameron Dicker win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Cameron Dicker | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bobby Okereke win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Bobby Okereke | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bradley Chubb win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Bradley Chubb | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Austin Corbett win the Walter Payton Man of the Year Award? · Austin Corbett | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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