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Stanley Cup on Kalshi
If Washington Capitals wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, AP.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Jersey Devils win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · New Jersey Devils | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 527,953 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Boston Bruins win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Boston Bruins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 397,962 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will San Jose Sharks win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · San Jose Sharks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 390,181 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Carolina Hurricanes | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 356,789 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota Wild win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Minnesota Wild | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 340,527 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Florida Panthers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Florida Panthers | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 307,678 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York Rangers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · New York Rangers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 261,028 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado Avalanche win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Colorado Avalanche | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 252,634 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Anaheim Ducks win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Anaheim Ducks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 241,003 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will St. Louis Blues win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · St. Louis Blues | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 229,347 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Utah Mammoth win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Utah Mammoth | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 227,120 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Edmonton Oilers | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 217,726 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas Stars win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Dallas Stars | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 215,146 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Pittsburgh Penguins | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 214,415 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Montréal Canadiens win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Montréal Canadiens | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 213,934 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Toronto Maple Leafs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 181,415 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ottawa Senators win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Ottawa Senators | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 179,886 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Washington Capitals | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 150,133 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo Sabres win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Buffalo Sabres | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 144,754 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Chicago Blackhawks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 142,111 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Tampa Bay Lightning | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 132,034 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Vegas Golden Knights | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 114,911 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Philadelphia Flyers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 108,914 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Winnipeg Jets win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Winnipeg Jets | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 102,817 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle Kraken win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Seattle Kraken | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 89,710 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will New York Islanders win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · New York Islanders | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 82,537 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles Kings win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Los Angeles Kings | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 78,119 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nashville Predators win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Nashville Predators | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 67,016 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit Red Wings win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Detroit Red Wings | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 65,194 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Calgary Flames win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Calgary Flames | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 22,080 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Columbus Blue Jackets | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 12,105 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vancouver Canucks win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals? · Vancouver Canucks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,430 | Jun 30, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.