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NHL 1st Period Winner on Kalshi
If neither team wins the 1st period of the Philadelphia vs Edmonton NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, NHL.
Market says (typical open contract)
32%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
63% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 32¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $2.38 | 33.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota wins the 1st period · Minnesota | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 27 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 1 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia wins the 1st period · Philadelphia | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton wins the 1st period · Edmonton | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay wins the 1st period · Tampa Bay | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo wins the 1st period · Buffalo | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| New York R wins the 1st period · New York R | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| Calgary wins the 1st period · Calgary | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Nashville wins the 1st period · Nashville | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles wins the 1st period · Los Angeles | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| St. Louis wins the 1st period · St. Louis | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Detroit wins the 1st period · Detroit | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Winnipeg wins the 1st period · Winnipeg | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| New Jersey wins the 1st period · New Jersey | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Florida wins the 1st period · Florida | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Columbus wins the 1st period · Columbus | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Washington wins the 1st period · Washington | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Ottawa wins the 1st period · Ottawa | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Montreal wins the 1st period · Montreal | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Toronto wins the 1st period · Toronto | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| 1st period tie · Tie | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Colorado wins the 1st period · Colorado | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.