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NHL Atlantic Division Winner on Kalshi
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
24% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Bruins win the Atlantic Division? · Boston Bruins | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 20,726 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? · Tampa Bay Lightning | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 15,927 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division? · Ottawa Senators | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 12,165 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? · Montreal Canadiens | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 9,161 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division? · Toronto Maple Leafs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,332 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division? · Florida Panthers | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 5,816 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division? · Buffalo Sabres | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,097 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division? · Detroit Red Wings | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,413 | May 01, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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