Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NHL Goalscorer on Kalshi
If Michael Bunting records 2+ goals in the Philadelphia vs Vancouver NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 121 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Hronek: 1+ goals · Filip Hronek: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 35,515 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 1+ goals · Macklin Celebrini: 1+ | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 13,461 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Linus Karlsson: 1+ goals · Linus Karlsson: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 12,114 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Matvei Michkov: 2+ goals · Matvei Michkov: 2+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 11,654 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Matvei Michkov: 1+ goals · Matvei Michkov: 1+ | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 8,042 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Noel Acciari: 1+ goals · Noel Acciari: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 7,502 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Arshdeep Bains: 1+ goals · Arshdeep Bains: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 6,314 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Cam York: 1+ goals · Cam York: 1+ | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5,008 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Mason Marchment: 2+ goals · Mason Marchment: 2+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,796 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Bo Horvat: 1+ goals · Bo Horvat: 1+ | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 4,485 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Luke Schenn: 1+ goals · Luke Schenn: 1+ | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 4,070 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Will Smith: 1+ goals · Will Smith: 1+ | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 4,008 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Brendan Gallagher: 1+ goals · Brendan Gallagher: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 3,404 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Drew O'Connor: 1+ goals · Drew O'Connor: 1+ | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 3,375 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 3+ goals · Macklin Celebrini: 3+ | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,012 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Michael Bunting: 1+ goals · Michael Bunting: 1+ | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,956 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Brock Boeser: 1+ goals · Brock Boeser: 1+ | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 2,767 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Liam Ohgren: 1+ goals · Liam Ohgren: 1+ | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 2,720 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Trevor Zegras: 1+ goals · Trevor Zegras: 1+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 2,600 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Matvei Michkov: 3+ goals · Matvei Michkov: 3+ | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,571 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Tyler Toffoli: 1+ goals · Tyler Toffoli: 1+ | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,345 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Logan Stanley: 1+ goals · Logan Stanley: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,116 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 2+ goals · Macklin Celebrini: 2+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,071 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Adam Pelech: 1+ goals · Adam Pelech: 1+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,922 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Porter Martone: 1+ goals · Porter Martone: 1+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,905 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Victor Eklund: 1+ goals · Victor Eklund: 1+ | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,738 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Michael Misa: 1+ goals · Michael Misa: 1+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,684 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Travis Konecny: 1+ goals · Travis Konecny: 1+ | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,443 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Elias Pettersson (#40): 1+ goals · Elias Pettersson (#40): 1+ | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 1,293 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Sean Couturier: 1+ goals · Sean Couturier: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,200 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Max Sasson: 1+ goals · Max Sasson: 1+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,067 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Matthew Schaefer: 1+ goals · Matthew Schaefer: 1+ | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 1,066 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Darnell Nurse: 1+ goals · Darnell Nurse: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 906 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Ivar Stenberg: 1+ goals · Ivar Stenberg: 1+ | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 906 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Elias Pettersson (#25): 1+ goals · Elias Pettersson (#25): 1+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 889 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
| Michael Misa: 2+ goals · Michael Misa: 2+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 721 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Dmitry Orlov: 1+ goals · Dmitry Orlov: 1+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 652 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Matthew Schaefer: 2+ goals · Matthew Schaefer: 2+ | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 637 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Ty Dellandrea: 1+ goals · Ty Dellandrea: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 575 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Owen Tippett: 1+ goals · Owen Tippett: 1+ | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 572 | Nov 12, 02:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 121 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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