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NHL Ted Lindsay Winner on Kalshi
If William Nylander wins the NHL Ted Lindsay Award in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, National Hockey League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lindsay Award: Connor McDavid wins · Connor McDavid | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 1,327 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Alex Ovechkin wins · Alex Ovechkin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 32 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Jack Hughes wins · Jack Hughes | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 32 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Nathan MacKinnon wins · Nathan MacKinnon | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 30 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Macklin Celebrini wins · Macklin Celebrini | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 12 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Cale Makar wins · Cale Makar | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: William Nylander wins · William Nylander | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Sidney Crosby wins · Sidney Crosby | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Quinn Hughes wins · Quinn Hughes | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Pavel Dorofeyev wins · Pavel Dorofeyev | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Nick Suzuki wins · Nick Suzuki | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Nikita Kucherov wins · Nikita Kucherov | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Matthew Tkachuk wins · Matthew Tkachuk | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Mikko Rantanen wins · Mikko Rantanen | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Mitch Marner wins · Mitch Marner | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Leon Draisaitl wins · Leon Draisaitl | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Kirill Kaprizov wins · Kirill Kaprizov | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Kyle Connor wins · Kyle Connor | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Jack Eichel wins · Jack Eichel | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Igor Shesterkin wins · Igor Shesterkin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: David Pastrnak wins · David Pastrnak | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Connor Hellebuyck wins · Connor Hellebuyck | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Cole Caufield wins · Cole Caufield | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Connor Bedard wins · Connor Bedard | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Brady Tkachuk wins · Brady Tkachuk | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Andrei Vasilevskiy wins · Andrei Vasilevskiy | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Artemi Panarin wins · Artemi Panarin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Ted Lindsay Award: Auston Matthews wins · Auston Matthews | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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