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NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy on Kalshi
If Zach Werenski wins the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Evan Bouchard wins · Evan Bouchard | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 3,942 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Adam Fox wins · Adam Fox | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,444 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Quinn Hughes wins · Quinn Hughes | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 2,293 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Cale Makar wins · Cale Makar | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 2,260 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Matthew Schaefer wins · Matthew Schaefer | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2,158 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Cam Fowler wins · Cam Fowler | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,051 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Mikhail Sergachev wins · Mikhail Sergachev | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 2,050 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Luke Hughes wins · Luke Hughes | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 2,050 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Lane Hutson wins · Lane Hutson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,218 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Rasmus Dahlin wins · Rasmus Dahlin | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,138 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Brock Faber wins · Brock Faber | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 841 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Charlie McAvoy wins · Charlie McAvoy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 423 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Jake Sanderson wins · Jake Sanderson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 339 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Erik Karlsson wins · Erik Karlsson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 337 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Jackson LaCombe wins · Jackson LaCombe | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 248 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Shea Theodore wins · Shea Theodore | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 187 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Philip Broberg wins · Philip Broberg | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 170 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Zach Werenski wins · Zach Werenski | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 33 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Miro Heiskanen wins · Miro Heiskanen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 18 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Victor Hedman wins · Victor Hedman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Thomas Harley wins · Thomas Harley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Rasmus Sandin wins · Rasmus Sandin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Roman Josi wins · Roman Josi | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Neal Pionk wins · Neal Pionk | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Noah Dobson wins · Noah Dobson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Morgan Rielly wins · Morgan Rielly | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Mike Matheson wins · Mike Matheson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Jaccob Slavin wins · Jaccob Slavin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Josh Morrissey wins · Josh Morrissey | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| James Norris Memorial Trophy: Dougie Hamilton wins · Dougie Hamilton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.