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Worst NHL Record on Kalshi
If the Washington Capitals have the worst regular season record in the NHL in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, National Hockey League.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Calgary Flames have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Calgary Flames | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 480 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vancouver Canucks have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Vancouver Canucks | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 170 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Chicago Blackhawks | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 42 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Edmonton Oilers | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington Capitals have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Washington Capitals | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Winnipeg Jets | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Vegas Golden Knights | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah Mammoth have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Utah Mammoth | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Toronto Maple Leafs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Tampa Bay Lightning | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. Louis Blues have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · St. Louis Blues | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the San Jose Sharks have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · San Jose Sharks | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Seattle Kraken have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Seattle Kraken | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Pittsburgh Penguins | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Philadelphia Flyers | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ottawa Senators have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Ottawa Senators | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New York Rangers have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New York Rangers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New York Islanders have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New York Islanders | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nashville Predators have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Nashville Predators | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New Jersey Devils have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New Jersey Devils | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Montréal Canadiens have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Montréal Canadiens | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota Wild have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota Wild | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles Kings | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Florida Panthers have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Florida Panthers | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Red Wings have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Detroit Red Wings | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Dallas Stars have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas Stars | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Colorado Avalanche | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Columbus Blue Jackets | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Carolina Hurricanes | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Buffalo Sabres | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Boston Bruins have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Boston Bruins | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Anaheim Ducks | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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