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NYTBESTRESTAURANTS on Kalshi
If || Candidate || is in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027", then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The New York Times.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
25% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borgo be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Borgo | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 17 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Atomix be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Atomix | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 12 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Torrisi be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Torrisi | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 12 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will The Four Horsemen be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · The Four Horsemen | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 9 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yoshino be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Yoshino | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yamada be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Yamada | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Via Carota be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Via Carota | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Una Pizza Napoletana be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Una Pizza Napoletana | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Trinciti Roti Shop be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Trinciti Roti Shop | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tatiana by Kwame Onwuachi be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Tatiana by Kwame Onwuachi | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Szechuan Mountain House be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Szechuan Mountain House | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sushi Sho be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Sushi Sho | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Superiority Burger be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Superiority Burger | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Semma be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants" in New York City in 2027? · Semma | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sailor be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Sailor | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Queens Night Market be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Queens Night Market | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Penny be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Penny | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Meju be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Meju | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mama Lee be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Mama Lee | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mam be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Mam | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Le Bernardin be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Le Bernardin | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will La Piraña Lechonera be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · La Piraña Lechonera | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kono be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Kono | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will King be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · King | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kabawa be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Kabawa | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jeju Noodle Bar be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Jeju Noodle Bar | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jean-Georges be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Jean-Georges | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ha’s Snack Bar be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Ha’s Snack Bar | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Estela be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Estela | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ci Siamo be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Ci Siamo | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will CheLi be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · CheLi | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Casa Mono and Bar Jamón be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Casa Mono and Bar Jamón | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Café Carmellini be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Café Carmellini | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Blanca be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Blanca | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Aquavit be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · Aquavit | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will ABCV be in the top 10 on The New York Times’ list, titled “The 100 Best Restaurants in New York City in 2027? · ABCV | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Jul 01, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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