What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 1¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.47.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 1%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best Documentary Feature on Kalshi

If 14th has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

2% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · You Can See Everything	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	65%	117,441	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will NAZA win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · NAZA	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	45%	14,453	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Once Upon a Time in Harlem	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	11,687	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · American Doctor	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	7,319	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Musk	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,452	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Tie	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,565	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · One in a Million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,279	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will 14th win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · 14th	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	936	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Nuisance Bear	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	737	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tutu win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Tutu	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	181	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars? · Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	11	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.