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INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM on Kalshi
If Midday Meal has been nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Market says (typical open contract)
15%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
30% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.98 | 15.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Fjord | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 25,178 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · 1949 / Fatherland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 6,717 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Minotaur | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 6,548 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Possible Love | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 6,231 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Hope | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 5,260 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · The Black Ball | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 3,989 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · All of a Sudden | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 3,927 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Rose | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 3,015 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Coward | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 2,723 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Parallel Tales | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,696 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Bitter Christmas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,042 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · The Man I Love | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,370 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · The Dreamed Adventure | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 1,059 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Sheep in the Box | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 950 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · The Beloved | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 515 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Midday Meal | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Angh | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Shame and Money | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Growth of the Soil | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? · Woman Unknown | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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