What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best Supporting Actor on Kalshi

If Andrew Garfield has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Paul Giamatti	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	85%	29,505	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Robert Pattinson	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	25,990	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will John Leguizamo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · John Leguizamo	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	17,082	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Andrew Garfield	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	16,362	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Sam Rockwell	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	16,031	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Jeremy Strong	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	15,986	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will John Goodman win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · John Goodman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	15,404	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Edward Norton win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Edward Norton	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	13,461	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Skyler Gisondo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Skyler Gisondo	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	12,330	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Guitarricadelafuente	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	10,476	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will James Ortiz win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · James Ortiz	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	10,375	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Riz Ahmed win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Riz Ahmed	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	9,787	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Tom Holland	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,925	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Channing Tatum	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,728	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,574	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Miles Teller win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Miles Teller	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,329	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Colman Domingo	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,273	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Guy Pearce	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,336	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Steve Buscemi win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Steve Buscemi	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,454	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Charles Melton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	700	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Adam Scott win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Adam Scott	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	637	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Himesh Patel win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Himesh Patel	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	504	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Daniel Craig win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Daniel Craig	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	219	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	155	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Jesse Plemons	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	139	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Fassbender win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Michael Fassbender	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	138	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert De Niro win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars? · Robert De Niro	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	128	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.