What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 66¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.19.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 68% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 66%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Climate and Weather

Park City Mountain snowfall on Kalshi

If the total snowfall recorded at Park City Mountain October 1, 2026 through December 24, 2026 (value recorded at 4:00 PM ET on December 24) is above 90 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the New York Times, Vail Resorts, the Associated Press, Park City Mountain Snow & Weather Report, The Wall Street Journal, Reuters.

Market says (typical open contract)

66%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

68% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
66¢ (now)	1.6¢	$1.19	67.6%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Above 100 inches · Above 100 inches	16¢	16%	1.0¢	—	33%	10,597	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 40 inches · Above 40 inches	93¢	93%	0.5¢	—	14%	2,771	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 80 inches · Above 80 inches	41¢	41%	1.7¢	—	82%	1,609	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 30 inches · Above 30 inches	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	1,128	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 60 inches · Above 60 inches	75¢	75%	1.3¢	—	50%	517	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 70 inches · Above 70 inches	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	68%	380	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 50 inches · Above 50 inches	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	40%	237	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 90 inches · Above 90 inches	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	172	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 130 inches · Above 130 inches	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	27	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.