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Patients before Monopolies Act becomes law on Kalshi

If a bill titled "Patients Before Monopolies Act," or an equivalent bill aimed at curbing monopolistic practices (specifically joint ownership of PBM and Pharmacy businesses) in the healthcare or pharmaceutical industry, becomes law after Issuance and before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: White House, Library of Congress.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
9% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.3¢$3.364.3%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will a bill titled "Patients Before Monopolies Act" or an equivalent bill aimed at curbing monopolistic practices, specifically joint ownership of PBM and Pharmacy businesses, in the healthcare or pharmaceutical industry becomes law before Jan 4, 2027? · Before Jan 4, 20274¢4%0.3¢—9%2,232Jan 04, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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