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PDC Darts on Kalshi
If Wessel Nijman is the 2026-27 PDC World Championship winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, Fox Sports, PDC.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Championship? · Luke Littler | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 23,963 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Championship? · Luke Humphries | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 13,383 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen Bunting win the PDC World Championship? · Stephen Bunting | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,184 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Championship? · Gian van Veen | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,668 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Championship? · Michael van Gerwen | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,644 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonny Clayton win the PDC World Championship? · Jonny Clayton | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 2,539 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Wade win the PDC World Championship? · James Wade | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,531 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gerwyn Price win the PDC World Championship? · Gerwyn Price | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,463 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wessel Nijman win the PDC World Championship? · Wessel Nijman | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,284 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rob Cross win the PDC World Championship? · Rob Cross | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,652 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Doets win the PDC World Championship? · Kevin Doets | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,616 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dirk van Duijvenbode win the PDC World Championship? · Dirk van Duijvenbode | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,290 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nathan Aspinall win the PDC World Championship? · Nathan Aspinall | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,251 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Rock win the PDC World Championship? · Josh Rock | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,239 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Dobey win the PDC World Championship? · Chris Dobey | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,208 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Championship? · Gary Anderson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,092 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Danny Noppert win the PDC World Championship? · Danny Noppert | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 967 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ryan Searle win the PDC World Championship? · Ryan Searle | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 935 | Jan 22, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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